Updated August 16, 2025

The most statistically significant proven strategy to pick the top performing stock in the entire S&P 500 for any upcoming 12 month period is that developed by statistician and legendary bond analyst Martin S. Fridson.

Fridson has produced a masterclass in the science of projecting the up and coming #1 stock in the S&P 500.

The #1 S&P 500 winner has historically met Frisson's counter-culture criteria, has resulted in outsized triple digit returns in good stock market years, and mid-double digit returns in down stock market years.

While Fridson has used this statistical system to pick some of top stocks on an annual basis with remarkable results, we use his exact formula to pick the top stock of every month for the upcoming 12 month period.  We use technical analysis for tight entry and stops to avoid run away downsides.  So, for those following our price entry/stop loss it may take a couple bites at this apple but the result is sinfully delicious. 

We use this statistically proven, data driven, historically accurate criteria to select THE ONE STOCK with the best combination of: high price volatility, high analyst projected earnings volatility, relatively low market cap, sub investment grade credit, and a catalyst to light it's fuse and send it.

AUGUST 2025 WINNER

HubSpot (NYSE: HBUS)
✓ beta of 1.66
✓ price projection volatility / analysts: 53.8%
✓ price / high analyst (pun intended): 114.6%
✓ a market cap < S&P 500 average;
✓ a speculative bond credit rating 
✓ catalyst (AI play, seat-based pricing, only 10% of market penetrated, positive FCF)
 

Current entry / stop loss:
Buy up to $472.27
Stop loss: a close below $418.34

Leveraged play:  Leap option expiring  6/18/26 (average call for 440 strike: $50.90/ 100 share min.)

Get monthly moonshot selections & and other special short term 10:1 asymmetric opportunities.

Join the fun!